Fox News Poll: New Jersey governorship remains Democratic with Sherrill win

Democrat Mikie Sherrill defeated Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the New Jersey gubernatorial race powered by strong advocacy from Black voters women and younger voters Her supremacy secures Democrats a third straight term in the governor s office the first time that s happened since reflecting the state s enduring blue tilt despite fresh Republican gains Preliminary statistics from the Fox News Voter Poll a survey of more than registered New Jersey voters evidenced Sherrill performed well with Black voters voters under age women and college degree holders There was also a -point gender gap about in women backed Sherrill while about in men favored Ciattarelli Sherrill s domination among women continued across all age groups with her highest level of help coming from women under While Republicans have made gains among young men in contemporary elections younger men in New Jersey sided with the Democrat this time The gender divide also extended to parents moms broke for Sherrill nearly to while dads preferred Ciattarelli by a little over points Sherrill s multiracial coalition proved crucial to her win she received backing from over in Black voters and almost in Hispanic voters Hispanic voters who have been a focus of Republican courtship in contemporary years did not aid Republicans as much as they hoped Ultimately they sided with the Democrats by over points White voters overall broke for Ciattarelli largely fueled by a -point gap in his sponsorship among White men White women closely divided their vote between Sherrill and Ciattarelli with marginally more favoring the Democrat FINAL FACEOFF DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN NOMINEES IN KEY RACE FOR GOVERNOR BLAST EACH OTHER ON DEBATE STAGEThe majority of voters with a college degree backed Sherrill while voters without a degree slightly favored Ciattarelli Ciattarelli carried the Republican stronghold of White men without a college degree by over points Both candidates benefitted from the assistance of over in voters among their respective parties Among the crucial swing group of independents Sherrill was favored by just over half Additional assistance from in self-described moderates provided her with the boost needed to win statewide About half of New Jersey Republicans identified as MAGA and they nearly all threw their help behind Ciattarelli For in voters this was the first time they voted in a gubernatorial electoral contest and they backed Sherrill by to Despite Sherrill s Navy background over half of military households voted for Ciattarelli Among union households Sherrill narrowly held on to Democratic aid taking just over half DEMOCRAT MIKIE SHERRILL WINS NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR RACE KEEPS STATE BLUE AGAINST REPUBLICAN CHALLENGEBy a to margin more voters have a negative view of how things are going in the country in the present day than a positive view These voters strongly broke for Ciattarelli Even with Trump off the ballot his presence still played a defining role in the ballot About in Sherrill supporters announced their vote was to send a message of opposition to President Trump while about a quarter of Ciattarelli voters noted their vote was in backing of the president Trump s approval rating among Garden State voters is underwater with over half saying they disapprove Among the national parties views of the Democratic Party are split down the middle while views of the Republican Party lean unfavorable Issues of affordability clearly dominated voter concerns with taxes coming in at the top closely followed by the commercial sector Voters prioritizing taxes broke for Ciattarelli by over percentage points while voters who prioritized the commercial sector favored Sherrill by a slightly wider margin For voters who saw healthcare as a top issue Sherrill received the bulk of promotion Nearly all voters commented property taxes were at least a minor predicament where they live and in called it a major concern Rising electricity costs also loomed large in the race with nearly in voters indicating it was a predicament Voters who explained both property taxes and electricity costs were a major trouble were more apt to backing Ciattarelli while those who only classified it as a minor matter supported Sherrill Fighting against these rising costs voters understandably had a more pessimistic outlook on the state s business sector than optimistic About in who have a negative view voted for Ciattarelli and out of with a positive outlook backed Sherrill SOCIALIST SHOCKWAVE ZOHRAN MAMDANI STUNS NYC AS VOTERS HAND POWER TO DEMOCRATS FAR-LEFT FLANKAgainst this economic backdrop in New Jersey voters revealed they are falling behind financially The largest number in noted they are holding steady and only a small fraction description they re getting ahead For the quarter of voters falling behind Sherrill received majority endorsement while voters who are holding steady split their sponsorship about evenly between the candidates Voters are split on whether the next governor should cooperate with the Trump administration on immigration enforcement But in response to the administration s current actions over half of voters think it s gone too far while about in say it s about right Voters in the Garden State disclosed bringing needed change sharing their values and working for people like them were particular of the majority central candidate qualities in deciding their vote Change-motivated voters went for Ciattarelli while those who prioritized value sharing and working for people like them favored Sherrill to The accusations about Sherrill s Naval Academy graduation failed to dissuade voters from supporting her as voters who prioritized honesty favored Sherrill by more than points More voters thought she ran a mostly fair campaign than thought Ciattarelli s campaign was mostly fair Sherrill also benefitted from a net-positive favorability rating with over half of Garden State voters rating her favorably The impact of a negative campaign cycle could have hurt Ciattarelli about half of voters felt he ran a mostly unfair campaign and have an unfavorable view of the Republican Amid this heated race for governor political corruption was on the mind of a multitude of New Jersey voters with in identifying it as at least a minor matter Those who saw it as a major trouble were more likely to side with Ciattarelli while those who saw it as only a minor matter favored Sherrill By a to margin more Sherrill voters noted their vote was in endorsement of their candidate than against their opponent Ciattarelli voters were even more enthusiastic with in voting in advocacy of the Republican Among the late-deciding voters Sherrill was favored by almost in Term-limited Democratic Gov Phil Murphy s job rating is underwater as he prepares to leave office After over a decade of Democratic leadership roughly in Democrats disapprove of the job he s done as governor Independents have mixed feelings with about equal numbers approving as disapproving and nearly all Republicans disapprove METHODOLOGYThe Fox News Voter Poll is based on a survey conducted by SSRS with New Jersey registered voters This survey was conducted October to November concluding at the end of voting on Vote Day The poll combines content collected from registered voters online and by telephone with material collected in-person from Electoral contest Day voters at precincts per state In the final step all the pre-election survey respondents and Electoral contest Day exit poll respondents are combined by adjusting the share of voting mode absentee early-in-person and Voting process Day based on the estimated composition of the state final electorate Once votes are counted the survey results are also weighted to match the overall results in each state Results among all more than New Jersey voters interviewed have an estimated margin of sampling error of plus or minus percentage points including the design effects The error margin is larger among subgroups